Four of the five Chicago Bulls starters should already be penciled in. Josh Giddey, fresh off signing a new contract, Coby White, Matas Buzelis, and Nikola Vucevic are all locks.
Therefore, the fifth and final spot is up for grabs. With Giddey and White in the backcourt, Buzelis on the wing, and Vucevic at center, the final spot will inevitably go to a forward. Though 6-foot-5 Ayo Dosunmu has started plenty of games in Chicago, his ideal role remains that of a combo guard.
The Bulls' starting small forward spot is up for grabs
That leaves 12th overall pick Noa Essengue, midseason acquisition Kevin Huerter, offseason addition Isaac Okoro, 21-year-old Julian Phillips, and the enigmatic Patrick Williams.
At merely 18 years old, Essengue has almost no shot at a starting role, at least to begin the season. The Frenchman won't turn 19 until late December, and considering Billy Donovan's reluctance to thrust Buzelis into a primary role as a rookie season ago, it's a given Essengue will begin the season buried on the bench as he continues to develop.
The same applies to Phillips, though to a lesser degree. Phillips has two seasons under his belt, but is best utilized as a reserve forward. He's appeared in 119 games throughout his career and has only made five starts. Therefore, the remaining roster spot will ultimately be a battle between Huerter, Okoro, and Williams.
Among the three, only Huerter ended last season as a starter. The 6-foot-7 wing started 17 of the Bulls' final 19 games, including the Play-In loss to Miami, playing 32 minutes in that contest. The only two games he didn't start, he was inactive.
Kevin Huerter proved to be a valuabe starting wing
As a starter, Huerter averaged 15.3 points, 3.4 rebounds, 3.9 assists, and 3.0 three-pointers per contest. The former Sacramento King converted 50.3 percent of his field goals and 41.7 percent of his triples. His statistics as a starter were much better than off the bench. In a reserve role, Huerter averaged 12.6 points, 2.6 rebounds, 1.7 assists, and 3.0 threes, but he struggled to score efficiently—knocking down merely 36.1 percent of his field goal attempts and 35.6 percent of his three-pointers. Moreover, he was plus-8.8 as a starter, compared to plus-6.4 off the pine.
Huerter proved to be a snug fit in Donovan's uptempo, pace-and-space offense. Yet, his sample size as a starter came at an almost meaningless portion of the season, which saw the Bulls win 13 of 19 games when Huerter started.
Of course, calling any stretch of NBA basketball meaningless would be wrong, but many of the Bulls’ late-season victories came against non-playoff teams and squads resting starters ahead of the postseason. Essentially, take Huerter's whimsical 99th percentile plus/minus in Chicago with a grain of salt.
Not to say Huerter isn't an obvious candidate for a bench role, there's just one player (and, no, it's not Williams) who should get the starting nod. That's Okoro, who's started plenty of games throughout five seasons, but came off the bench more often than not last season for the first time in his career.
Isaac Okoro is the best starting option moving forward
Okoro started a career-low 22 games this past season for the Eastern Conference-best Cleveland Cavaliers. The 6-foot-5 wing primarily started whenever Max Strus was out of the lineup. As a starter, Okoro averaged 6.9 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 1.6 assists compared to 5.6 points, 2.2 rebounds, and 1.0 assists as a reserve.
Okoro’s counting stats don’t inspire much confidence, especially compared to Huerter’s strong numbers as a starter. Nevertheless, the Bulls' starting lineup isn't particularly in need of shooting; it needs defense, and a versatile defender at that.
Neither Giddey nor White is a strong defender. Being 6-foot-8, Giddey offers unique versatility, but his athletic limitations will force him to guard a wing, leaving White as the lone perimeter defender. Knowing this, Dosunmu could be thrown back into the mix. However, he's not the same caliber of defender as Okoro is.
Among 268 players to record at least 1,000 minutes, Okoro placed 79th in CraftedNBA's defensive versatility metric. Dosunmu ranked 193rd, and Huerter came in at 134th. Moreover, Okoro wasn't just versatile, guarding multiple different positions. He routinely took on the opposition’s best guard or wing. Damian Lillard, Zach LaVine, Jayson Tatum, Ja Morant, and Trae Young were five of his 10 most common matchups. Not only are they stars—they also bring a variety of playstyles.
Lining up Okoro between White and Buzelis is Donovan's best option. He might not be the shooter that Huerter is, but he offers rugged and versatile point-of-attack defense—a non-negotiable considering the Bulls' remaining starters. While Huerter exceeded expectations as a starter, it'd be a risk to begin the season with the 26-year-old starting at small forward.